Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.162180 2.473854 2.805896 3.185005 3.604875 4.054655 4.571895
2024-12-29 1.655388 2.096912 2.605673 3.230633 3.972740 4.820762 5.857755
2025-01-05 1.319079 1.831679 2.464850 3.293046 4.335269 5.590244 7.201192
2025-01-12 1.037545 1.570998 2.273710 3.246330 4.534247 6.156215 8.324822
2025-01-19 0.865710 1.416875 2.185420 3.302319 4.846182 6.863922 9.652484
2025-01-26 0.729637 1.285141 2.101789 3.342377 5.124108 7.529606 10.950450
2025-02-02 0.625174 1.180154 2.037154 3.392709 5.407414 8.206495 12.287384
2025-02-09 0.527189 1.066835 1.941684 3.380779 5.590731 8.744982 13.451451
2025-02-16 0.438973 0.953234 1.828471 3.324635 5.695914 9.168509 14.464379
2025-02-23 0.381557 0.883699 1.776571 3.355697 5.928304 9.780049 15.764615
2025-03-02 0.322012 0.798676 1.686071 3.311518 6.034714 10.203650 16.802403
2025-03-09 0.284419 0.750091 1.652915 3.357809 6.283496 10.847844 18.186300
2025-03-16 0.243032 0.687085 1.587898 3.346952 6.445247 11.378003 19.442071
2025-03-23 0.222530 0.666804 1.602399 3.479813 6.856493 12.320009 21.370159
2025-03-30 0.201299 0.640575 1.601635 3.583754 7.223835 13.208291 23.250354
2025-04-06 0.170739 0.584439 1.531785 3.549723 7.346574 13.704765 24.533204
2025-04-13 0.152400 0.555657 1.515705 3.616908 7.650859 14.509271 26.332004
2025-04-20 0.134876 0.524856 1.490757 3.663064 7.917765 15.260330 28.068772
2025-04-27 0.120129 0.498363 1.471766 3.718601 8.203327 16.052162 29.896329
2025-05-04 0.103461 0.461432 1.422850 3.706303 8.358840 16.625519 31.381123
2025-05-11 0.086808 0.419388 1.354981 3.646018 8.416710 17.029026 32.593476
2025-05-18 0.076621 0.396318 1.331343 3.679607 8.657405 17.760375 34.377387
2025-05-25 0.064616 0.362502 1.274305 3.632019 8.732655 18.197855 35.672734